Democrats bet on Rowe to save 2022 – Politico

With help from Lauren Gardner

Abortion on the ballot In the three weeks since the Supreme Court’s abolition Raw vs. WadeThe near-unanimity in both party political circles was that the decision would hurt suburban Republicans, but not enough to prevent the Republican Party from winning the House of Representatives in November.

There are a lot of other things on voters’ minds — most of all, inflation.

How do the Democrats ensure that? Ro Bringing low-key, Democratic-leaning voters who might be sitting in November outside to the voting booths? They put it on the ballot paper.

This week, abortion rights activists in the swing state of Michigan submitted signatures to qualify a November ballot measure to enshrine abortion protections in the state constitution. Similar measures have already been taken in Vermont and California.

Anti-abortion measures will appear on ballots in other states, including Kentucky and, next month, Kansas. But Ro It’s a case that the Democrats nationwide polls are better than the Republicans. And as my colleague Madison Fernandez astutely noted, it’s not going away, with more to be expected RoRelevant ballot actions in 2023 and 2024, including the presidential battlefield in Arizona.

For Democrats, the motive is twofold: Yes, they do care about abortion rights. But in a bleak electoral landscape, they are also desperate to put something in front of voters more suited to them than President Joe Biden, with his poor job acceptance rates and a faltering economy. Polling measure is more permanent than any single news cycle, to be exact RoA place in future election conversations even if the single stories that grab the attention — like the current uproar over the abortion issue of a 10-year-old rape victim in Indiana — fade from view.

“In an election, you don’t win just by getting the best little joke in a debate or the right answer on a particular issue,” Paul Mitchell, a prominent California political data expert, told Nightly. “You win in part by making elections based on issues that are already your territory.”

In some parts of the country, this will not affect the results. But in House counties where, in Mitchell’s words, the typical swing voter “would be a white woman, a homeowner,” it might happen.

“It doesn’t create a uniform kind of bump for Democrats across the country,” said Mitchell, vice president of Policy Data, which works with Democrats and in nonpartisan races. “But if you think about Denver, Colorado, or you think about Nevada, which has this libertarian streak that is definitely pro-choice, then you start to get to some of the places where Democrats benefit most.”

It’s not a sure bet. Abortion has traditionally been ranked low as an issue of concern to voters, and, as far as they do, it is Republicans who are most motivated by the topic, even after it has emerged. Ro was in danger. But abortion rights have become a priority for voters since the Supreme Court ruling last month. There is also precedent for Democrats to believe that ballot measures on a lightning bolt cultural issue can help: They haven’t forgotten 2004, when conservatives designed a raft of anti-gay ballot measures for the turnout era in multiple states.

And it’s not as if the party has many better options.

Biden will not take them there. “Ukraine is not going to get them there,” said Mike Madrid, a California-based Republican strategist who was one of the founders of the anti-Donald Trump Lincoln Project. “that’s it.”

In close house races or in state competitions in the swing states, The effect doesn’t have to be gigantic to change the outcome.

“It doesn’t take a huge amount of work,” Madrid said. “It only needs to work at 4 or 5 percent… You use it to attract the voter segments that you need.”

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A list of the repercussions of the Supreme Court coup of the Roe case hits countries: In Indiana, Attorney General Todd Rocetta is threatening criminal charges for the doctor who performed an abortion on a 10-year-old rape survivor from Ohio. According to the National Right to Life General Counsel, that 10-year-old girl who crossed state lines to receive an abortion after being raped should have carried her pregnancy to term, and she had to under a model law written by the organization. In addition, the Texas attorney general filed a lawsuit today to challenge new abortion guidelines issued by the Biden administration this week. Texas argues that the administration’s directive, which came in the form of a memo saying that federal law requires them to perform emergency abortions, violates doctors’ rights not to participate in termination of pregnancy and steps related to the state’s right to regulate. action within its limits.

The death of the first wife of former President Ivana Trump at the age of 73: The first wife of former President Donald Trump has died at her home in New York City, he announced in a post on the Truth Social. The couple had three children together and divorced in 1992 after 15 years of marriage. The Czech-born businesswoman and former model has held several roles in the Trump family businesses, including serving as the former vice president of interior design for the Trump Organization. The Trump family’s statement upon her death described her as a “wonderful woman.”

– Democratic Senators, from Bennett to Warnock, Spreading “Big” Money Ahead of the Midterms: Michael Bennett sits on nearly 10 times the cash of his Republican rival, the latest example of Democrats’ expanding financial advantage as they vie to maintain control of the Senate. In an otherwise bleak political climate for Democrats, the Colorado senator scored $3.3 million over the past three months and has $8 million on hand as Election Day approaches, the best fundraising quarter ever for a second-term senator, she said. His campaign for POLITICO. It’s a huge advantage over Republican rival Joe O’Day, who has raised $2 million and has $840,000 on hand.

The Senate looks forward to a vote on a computer chip bill that dramatically reduces US-China competition plans: Democrats plan to push domestic legislation to produce computer chips, signaling the end of official talks about broader competition law in China as the White House pushes for action before November. Majority Leader Chuck Schumer told senators to expect a vote as soon as Tuesday to advance $52 billion in seed funding for chip factories, as well as a tax credit for continued semiconductor production, a person familiar with the plans said. Any movement would impress weak Democrats who have pressured party leaders to break the deadlock over the bill, which lawmakers spent nearly two years crafting.

– House of Representatives passes $839 billion defense bill, eliminating Biden’s military plans: The legislation passed today marks the second year in a row that Democrats and Republicans have passed significant increases in Biden’s Pentagon spending plan. The National Defense Authorization Act, approved by 329-101 votes, is $37 billion more than the administration’s pursuit of military spending. The bill also rebukes many of Biden’s national security plans: Members kept a nuclear cruise missile the administration planned to get rid of, hampered sales of F-16s to Turkey, and reduced the number of planes and ships the Pentagon could retire from.

flew by A Chinese fighter jet had an “unsafe” and “unprofessional” interaction with a US C-130 special operations plane in the South China Sea last month, according to two people with knowledge of the incident, write Lara Seligman.

The interaction, which has not been previously reported, comes amid more aggressive military actions by Chinese pilots in the East China and South Seas in recent months using Australian and Canadian aircraft. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin condemned the behavior that occurred in Singapore last month.

“We have seen an alarming increase in the number of unsafe air intercepts and confrontations at sea by PLA aircraft and ships,” Austin said. “This should concern us all.”

This comes amid rising tension in the region as Taiwan fears an increase in the military threat from China. Although the United States does not have formal diplomatic relations with the island, Washington has a close relationship with Taiwan and has long supported its self-defense capacity through arms sales.